Legislative District Partisan Index
The Legislative District Partisan Index (LDPI) is an attempt to measure the partisan leanings of the 47 Legislative Districts in North Dakota (see below for scores for the Minnesota legislature). It is modeled upon Charlie Cook's Partisan Voter Index, which compares the vote that each of the major party Presidential candidates receives in each Congressional District with that candidate's national percentage. To use a simple example, if the Democratic candidate for President received 52% of the vote nationwide, but won 58% of the vote in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District (MN-8), Cook would say that that district has a D+6 index. If the Republican candidate won 48% of the vote nationwide, but 53% of the vote in Minnesota's 3rd CD, Cook would indicate that district as R+5. Cook's actual data is quite a bit more complicated than that (he uses an average of the two most recent elections), but that's the basic concept.
Using a similar approach, I have calculated a LDPI for each of North Dakota's 47 Districts. The original methodology was as follows: Using each statewide race for a major office (US President, Governor, US Senator, US Congressman), I calculated the percentage that each candidate obtained statewide, as well as the percentage that each of those candidates obtained in each District (using the Secretary of State's Election Results page as the source of my raw numbers). I then calculated the difference between the candidates statewide percentage and his/her districtwide percentage. With some races featuring third party candidacies and write-in votes, these differences in percentages were not always exactly equal (which would be the case in a two-person race with no votes cast for anyone else), but the differences ended up relatively small. For example, here is the raw data for my home district, District 46, in South Fargo, for the four major races in 2012.
Using a similar approach, I have calculated a LDPI for each of North Dakota's 47 Districts. The original methodology was as follows: Using each statewide race for a major office (US President, Governor, US Senator, US Congressman), I calculated the percentage that each candidate obtained statewide, as well as the percentage that each of those candidates obtained in each District (using the Secretary of State's Election Results page as the source of my raw numbers). I then calculated the difference between the candidates statewide percentage and his/her districtwide percentage. With some races featuring third party candidacies and write-in votes, these differences in percentages were not always exactly equal (which would be the case in a two-person race with no votes cast for anyone else), but the differences ended up relatively small. For example, here is the raw data for my home district, District 46, in South Fargo, for the four major races in 2012.
President | Governor | Senate | Congress | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dem | Rep | Dem | Rep | Dem | Rep | Dem | Rep | |
Dist 46 | 45.34% | 52.02% | 31.97% | 65.25% | 53.14% | 46.46% | 45.03% | 51.42% |
Statewide | 38.7% | 58.32% | 34.31% | 63.1% | 50.23% | 49.33% | 41.72% | 54.87% |
Difference | +6.73% | -6.28% | -2.32% | +2.15% | +2.94% | -2.84% | +3.33% | -3.34% |
Adding up the four "Differences" for the Democrats, we get 10.68 (6.73-2.32+2.94+3.33), with average of 2.67% (10.68/4 =2.67). Therefore, the four major statewide Democratic candidates performed, in District 46, an average of 2.67% higher than they did statewide.
Adding up the four "Differences" for the Republicans, we get -10.31 (-6.28+2.15-2.84-3.34), with an average of -2.58% (-10.31/4 = -2.58). Likewise, we can say that the four major Republican candidates performed, in District 46, an average of 2.58% lower than they did statewide.
In calculating LDPI for District 46 for these four races, I would take the average of those two magnitudes (2.63, rounded to 2.6).
The most current version of the LDPI table (January 2015) uses an average of all of the partisan statewide races in 2012 and 2014 (there were fifteen such races in those two election cycles). The table is reported in order from most partisan Democratic to most partisan Republican. The current Legislative incumbents are listed for each district as well, as well as a description of the location of the district (for those who don't know district numbers). Democratic party members are coded in BLUE; Republicans are coded in RED. House members are listed in seniority order within their district, with the highest vote total in the last election serving as a tie-breaker.
Adding up the four "Differences" for the Republicans, we get -10.31 (-6.28+2.15-2.84-3.34), with an average of -2.58% (-10.31/4 = -2.58). Likewise, we can say that the four major Republican candidates performed, in District 46, an average of 2.58% lower than they did statewide.
In calculating LDPI for District 46 for these four races, I would take the average of those two magnitudes (2.63, rounded to 2.6).
The most current version of the LDPI table (January 2015) uses an average of all of the partisan statewide races in 2012 and 2014 (there were fifteen such races in those two election cycles). The table is reported in order from most partisan Democratic to most partisan Republican. The current Legislative incumbents are listed for each district as well, as well as a description of the location of the district (for those who don't know district numbers). Democratic party members are coded in BLUE; Republicans are coded in RED. House members are listed in seniority order within their district, with the highest vote total in the last election serving as a tie-breaker.
District | LDPI | Senator | Representatives | District Description | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | D +31.4 | Marcellais | Boe | M. Nelson | Rollette County, includes Turtle Mountain |
21 | D +18 | C. Nelson | Hogan | Mary Schneider | Downtown Fargo and near Northside Fargo |
18 | D +13.3 | Triplett | Glassheim | Strinden | North Grand Forks, includes downtown |
11 | D +12.6 | Mathern | Guggisberg | Wallman | Near Southside Fargo, just off downtown |
44 | D +10.8 | Flakoll | Thoreson | Boschee | North Fargo, just east of NDSU campus |
26 | D +9.5 | Dotzenrod | Kelsh | Amerman | Sargent County, plus parts of Ransom, Dickey, & Richland |
16 | D +8.8 | Axness | B. Koppelman | Hanson | Parts of southwest Fargo, southern part of West Fargo |
23 | D +8.7 | Heckaman | Devlin | Vigesaa | Griggs, Steele, Eddy, & Nelson Counties, plus part Benson; includes Spirit Lake |
42 | D +8.2 | Mac Schneider | Mock | Oversen | North Grand Forks; includes UND campus |
43 | D +6.8 | Laffen | Delmore | R.S. Becker | Central part of Grand Forks |
24 | D +6.8 | Robinson | Muscha | Kiefert | Barnes County and surrounding parts of Cass & Ransom; includes city of Valley City |
4 | D +5.9 | Warner | Froseth | Onstad | Parts Dunn, McLean, Ward, Mercer, McKenzie, & Mountrail Cnties; incl Fort Berthold |
15 | D +4.2 | Oehlke | D. Johnson | Hofstad | Towner and Ramsey Counties; includes city of Devils Lake |
20 | D +4 | Murphy | Holman | Mooney | All of Trail County; parts of rural Grand Forks and Cass |
45 | D +3.7 | Sorvaag | Kading | M. Johnson | Far North Fargo; includes NDSU campus and some rural |
13 | D +3.5 | J. Lee | K. Koppelman | Olson | Most of the city of West Fargo |
46 | D +3.1 | Sinner | Hawken | Kasper | Eastern-most portion of far South Fargo |
12 | D +3 | Grabinger | Haak | Looysen | Most of the city of Jamestown |
27 | D +2.3 | Casper | Boehning | Beadle | Southwest Fargo, including some rural |
25 | D +2 | Luick | Schreiber Beck | Mitskog | Eastern Richland County and part of rural Cass; includes city of Wahpeton |
41 | D +1.9 | Davison | Carlson | P. Anderson | West-central portion of far South Fargo |
17 | D +1.6 | Holmberg | Owens | Sanford | South Grand Forks |
10 | D +0.3 | Miller | Monson | Damschen | Cavalier and Pembina Counties; part of Walsh |
22 | Even | G. Lee | Belter | Silbernagel | Most of rural Cass County |
31 | R +0.3 | Schaible | Rohr | Schmidt | Grant and Sioux Counties; parts of Hettinger and Morton; includes Standing Rock |
34 | R +0.5 | Cook | Porter | Toman | Most of the city of Mandan |
35 | R +0.8 | Oban | Martinson | Karls | Near northside Bismarck; includes most of downtown area |
29 | R +1.3 | Wanzek | Pollert | Headland | Foster County; most of LaMoure & part of Ransom; all of rural Stutsman + part Jamestown |
32 | R +1.3 | Dever | Dosch | Meier | South-central Bismarck, just south of downtown area |
19 | R +1.3 | Campbell | Paur | Trottier | Parts of Walsh and rural Grand Forks Counties |
6 | R +3 | O'Connell | Hunskor | D. Anderson | Bottineau, McHenry, and Renville Counties |
14 | R +3.4 | Klein | J. Nelson | Weisz | Sheridan, Kidder, Wells, & Pierce Counties; part of Benson |
40 | R +3.5 | Krebsbach | Klein | Frantsvog | Northern-most part of Minot; plus some rural |
3 | R +3.7 | O. Larsen | Maragos | Streyle | Eastern-most part of Minot; plus some rural |
5 | R +3.8 | Burckhard | Louser | Brabant | Most of southern and southwest Minot |
30 | R +4.6 | Carlisle | Nathe | D. Larson | South-western part of Bismarck, plus some areas of south-east Bismarck; includes some rural |
8 | R +6.7 | H. Anderson | Delzer | Laning | Part of McLean County; most of northern rural Burleigh County |
7 | R +7.7 | Poolman | Dockter | R.C. Becker | Exurb areas of north and east Bismarck; includes Lincoln |
38 | R +7.9 | Hogue | Ruby | Bellew | North-west Minot; plus rural |
33 | R +8 | Unruh | Kreidt | Seibel | Oliver County; most of Mercer; part of rural Morton |
47 | R +8 | Kilzer | Keiser | Klemin | Northwest Bismarck |
28 | R +9.4 | Erbele | Kretschmar | Brandenburg | Emmons, Logan, and McIntosh Counties; parts of LaMoure, Dickey, and Burleigh |
37 | R +10.4 | Wardner | Steiner | Lefor | Most of the city of Dickinson |
2 | R +10.5 | Rust | Skarphol | B. Anderson | Divide and Burke Counties; part of Mountrail; all of Williams County except for Williston |
1 | R +12.2 | Bekkedahl | Hatlestad | Sukut | Most of the city of Williston |
36 | R +13.3 | Armstrong | Schatz | Fehr | Most of rural Stark County (outside of city of Dickinson); parts of Dunn, Morton, Hettinger |
39 | R +14.7 | Bowman | Kempenich | Zubke | Adams, Bowman, Slope, Golden Valley, & Billings Counties; most of McKenzie County; part of Dunn |
Here's a visual mapping of the same data:
A word of caution in interpreting these. Keep in mind that North Dakota, on a statewide basis, significantly favors Republicans. In the 2012 election, the four high-profile state races produced an average 15.2% advantage for the Republican candidates, and Cook's PVI score for North Dakota is R+10. For the updated (January 2015) chart above, the GOP had a statewide average advantage in the fifteen statewide races of 60%-37% (third-party and write-in candidates account for the remaining 3%). All the LDPI does is indicate to what magnitude that district supported the statewide candidates ABOVE or BELOW their statewide averages.
Where the LDPI is useful is in evaluating the RELATIVE partisanship of the districts. For example, we can say with some degree of certainty that District 23, despite having two Republican House members, was more likely in 2012 and 2014 to give support to Democratic candidates than was District 6 (even though District 6 has two Democratic legislators). Now, that's not to say that in every race, any given Republican will likely win in District 6, whereas any given Democratic will likely win in District 23 (we obviously have some counter-examples). What the LDPI cannot take into account are factors like incumbency, the importance of seniority, balancing of rural/urban or county interests in the formation of legislative tickets, personal and professional backgrounds of legislators, campaign strategies, and a host of other significant issues. These are all important and interesting questions, some of which I would like to address in future studies.
An anticipated criticism of this index (probably the most important one, from a Political Science perspective), is the question of longitudinal validity. These numbers are only based upon two elections (2012 and 2014). That is an important critique, and a valid concern (as anyone who's taken a Social Science Stats class knows, the creation of indexes and scales is as much of an art as it is a science, and we often have to assume validity based on the way that we construct them). The challenge is that 2012 was the first election under the new district lines (after the 2011 redistricting), so there is no historical record with exactly these same districts with which to compare. There are several sets of results, however, under the old boundaries (2002-2010), and I have run some preliminary numbers on those (using the same methodology) for 2004, 2006, 2008, and 2010. I re-normed each set of results using z-scores, and then compared the z-scores for each district across time. With the exception of 2006 (which featured no close races for Congress or Senate; both were landslide results), the preliminary z-scores seem to cluster closely together within each district. Thus, I can say with some confidence that this method of calculating LDPI will show some consistency over time in measuring RELATIVE partisanship. In this updated chart, when comparing the relative ordering from the 2012 results to the current (2012-2014) version, only one district (District 6, which moved six places) moved more than three places in the relative order.
Where the LDPI is useful is in evaluating the RELATIVE partisanship of the districts. For example, we can say with some degree of certainty that District 23, despite having two Republican House members, was more likely in 2012 and 2014 to give support to Democratic candidates than was District 6 (even though District 6 has two Democratic legislators). Now, that's not to say that in every race, any given Republican will likely win in District 6, whereas any given Democratic will likely win in District 23 (we obviously have some counter-examples). What the LDPI cannot take into account are factors like incumbency, the importance of seniority, balancing of rural/urban or county interests in the formation of legislative tickets, personal and professional backgrounds of legislators, campaign strategies, and a host of other significant issues. These are all important and interesting questions, some of which I would like to address in future studies.
An anticipated criticism of this index (probably the most important one, from a Political Science perspective), is the question of longitudinal validity. These numbers are only based upon two elections (2012 and 2014). That is an important critique, and a valid concern (as anyone who's taken a Social Science Stats class knows, the creation of indexes and scales is as much of an art as it is a science, and we often have to assume validity based on the way that we construct them). The challenge is that 2012 was the first election under the new district lines (after the 2011 redistricting), so there is no historical record with exactly these same districts with which to compare. There are several sets of results, however, under the old boundaries (2002-2010), and I have run some preliminary numbers on those (using the same methodology) for 2004, 2006, 2008, and 2010. I re-normed each set of results using z-scores, and then compared the z-scores for each district across time. With the exception of 2006 (which featured no close races for Congress or Senate; both were landslide results), the preliminary z-scores seem to cluster closely together within each district. Thus, I can say with some confidence that this method of calculating LDPI will show some consistency over time in measuring RELATIVE partisanship. In this updated chart, when comparing the relative ordering from the 2012 results to the current (2012-2014) version, only one district (District 6, which moved six places) moved more than three places in the relative order.
Minnesota Legislative District Partisan Indexes
Using the same methodology as above, I have calculated LDPI scores for Minnesota Legislative Districts as well. There were seven (7) statewide partisan races in Minnesota during the 2012 and 2014 cycles, including two Senate races (one in each year), the Presidential campaign in 2012, the Governor's race in 2014, and three statewide elected officers in 2014 (Attorney General, Secretary of State, and Auditor). The scores are listed by Senate district, from most Democratic to most Republican, using the same format as above. A separate LDPI for each House district is listed as well after the name of each House member. Minnesota divides its Senate districts into two House districts of equal population, and labels each with an "A" or a "B". For example, the district which includes MState's Moorhead campus is Senate District 4, which encompasses all of Clay and Norman Counties, as well as the part of Becker County which includes the city of Detroit Lakes. House District 4A is most of the city of Moorhead (which is the largest city in that part of the state); House District 4B contains the remainder of Clay County, as well as all of Norman and the Becker County/Detroit Lakes portion. The district descriptions in this table are more general than those in the North Dakota table; this is made necessary by the much more populous districts used in Minnesota (the average Minnesota Senate district has just under 80,000 people, while the average North Dakota district has about 13,000).
Like in North Dakota, these scores indicate RELATIVE PARTISANSHIP. For the seven statewide races used in this analysis, the Democrats outpolled the Republicans by a margin of 53%-41% (Minnesota has active minor parties, such as the Independence and the Greens, which regularly run candidates for statewide office). Thus, there is approximately a 12% statewide advantage for the Democrats.
Using the same methodology as above, I have calculated LDPI scores for Minnesota Legislative Districts as well. There were seven (7) statewide partisan races in Minnesota during the 2012 and 2014 cycles, including two Senate races (one in each year), the Presidential campaign in 2012, the Governor's race in 2014, and three statewide elected officers in 2014 (Attorney General, Secretary of State, and Auditor). The scores are listed by Senate district, from most Democratic to most Republican, using the same format as above. A separate LDPI for each House district is listed as well after the name of each House member. Minnesota divides its Senate districts into two House districts of equal population, and labels each with an "A" or a "B". For example, the district which includes MState's Moorhead campus is Senate District 4, which encompasses all of Clay and Norman Counties, as well as the part of Becker County which includes the city of Detroit Lakes. House District 4A is most of the city of Moorhead (which is the largest city in that part of the state); House District 4B contains the remainder of Clay County, as well as all of Norman and the Becker County/Detroit Lakes portion. The district descriptions in this table are more general than those in the North Dakota table; this is made necessary by the much more populous districts used in Minnesota (the average Minnesota Senate district has just under 80,000 people, while the average North Dakota district has about 13,000).
Like in North Dakota, these scores indicate RELATIVE PARTISANSHIP. For the seven statewide races used in this analysis, the Democrats outpolled the Republicans by a margin of 53%-41% (Minnesota has active minor parties, such as the Independence and the Greens, which regularly run candidates for statewide office). Thus, there is approximately a 12% statewide advantage for the Democrats.
District | Senator | Senate LDPI | House A Representative | House A LDPI | House B Representative | House B LDPI | District Description |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 | Jeff Hayden | D +31.34 | Karen Clark | D +30.5 | Susan Allen | D +31.85 | Minneapolis, south of Downtown |
59 | Bobby Joe Champion | D +25.11 | Joe Mullery | D +26.32 | Raymond Dehm | D +24.09 | Minneapolis, Downtown and north |
63 | Patricia Torres Ray | D +24.66 | Jim Davnie | D +28.93 | Jean Wagenius | D +20.22 | Southeast Minneapolis, part of Richfield |
65 | Sandra Pappas | D +24.59 | Rena Moran | D +27.15 | Carlos Mariani | D +22.39 | Downtown St. Paul and neighborhoods north and west |
61 | Scott Dibble | D +24.46 | Frank Hornstein | D +24.6 | Paul Thissen | D +24.33 | West Minneapolis |
60 | Kari Dziedzic | D +23.62 | Dianne Loeffler | D +24.12 | Phyllis Kahn | D +22.97 | East and Northeast Minneapolis, includes Univ of Minn |
64 | Richard Cohen | D +20.04 | Erin Murphy | D +23.47 | Dave Pinto | D +16.95 | South and west sides of St. Paul |
67 | Foung Hawj | D +18.03 | Tim Mahoney | D +18.12 | Sheldon Johnson | D +17.95 | East St. Paul |
66 | John Marty | D +16.49 | Alice Hausman | D +12.85 | John Lesch | D +22.55 | North St. Paul, Roseville, Falcon Heights |
7 | Roger Reinert | D +14.29 | Jennifer Schultz | D +13.34 | Erik Simonson | D +15.37 | Most of City of Duluth |
40 | Chris Eaton | D +12.23 | Michael Nelson | D +12.22 | Debra Hilstrom | D +12.23 | Most of Brooklyn Center, part of Brooklyn Park |
46 | Ron Latz | D +12.17 | Ryan Winkler | D +11.25 | Cheryl Youakim | D +13.22 | St. Louis Park and Hopkins |
6 | David Tomassoni | D +10.09 | Carly Melin | D +11.34 | Jason Metsa | D +8.95 | Parts of Itasca and St. Louis Counties, including Chisholm, Eveleth, Virginia |
45 | Ann Rest | D +8.03 | Lyndon Carlson, Sr | D +5.37 | Mike Freiberg | D +10.36 | Near Northwest Suburbs of Minneapolis, including Robbinsdale, New Hope, Golden Valley, Crystal |
41 | Barb Goodwin | D +7.19 | Connie Bernardy | D +5.5 | Carolyn Laine | D+ 8.83 | Near North Suburbs of St Paul, including Fridley, New Brighton, St. Anthony, Columbia Heights |
50 | Melissa Halvorson Wiklund | D+ 6.08 | Linda Slocum | D+ 9.37 | Ann Lenczewski | D+ 3.27 | Part of Richfield, most of Bloomington |
3 | Thomas Bakk | D +5.89 | David Dill | D +4.97 | Mary Murphy | D +6.88 | Rural-North Shore and Boundary Waters |
43 | Charles Wiger | D +3.38 | Peter Fischer | D +2.97 | Leon Lillie | D +3.84 | Northeast Suburbs of St Paul, including Maplewood, Oakdale, parts of White Bear Lake |
11 | Tony Lourey | D +3.16 | Mike Sandin | D +8.56 | Jason Rarick | R +2.75 | Rural-between St Paul and Duluth (including all of Pine and Carlton Counties) |
52 | James Metzen | D +2.37 | Rick Hansen | D +4.99 | Joe Atkins | R +0.43 | Near South Suburbs of St Paul, including South St Paul, Mendota Heights, Inver Grover Heights |
19 | Kathy Sheran | D +2.30 | Clark Johnson | D +1.09 | John Considine, Jr | D +3.73 | Nicollet County, including Mankato |
42 | Bev Scalze | D +1.79 | Barb Yarusso | R +0.24 | Jason Isaacson | D +3.85 | Near North Suburbs of St Paul, including Mounds View, Arden Hills, Little Canada, Shoreview |
27 | Dan Sparks | D +1.71 | Peggy Bennett | D +0.59 | Jeanne Poppe | D +3.09 | Austin, Albert Lea, and surrounding rural |
54 | Katie Sieben | D +0.13 | Dan Schoen | D +2.99 | Denny McNamara | R +2.45 | Southeast Suburbs of St Paul, including part of South St Paul (city), Newport, Cottage Grove, Hastings |
51 | Jim Carlson | D +0.03 | Sandra Masin | D +1.33 | Laurie Halverson | R +1.08 | Most of Eagan, part of Burnsville |
4 | Kent Eken | R +0.23 | Ben Lien | D +2.85 | Paul Marquart | R +2.91 | Rural Central/Northwest, including all of Clay and Norman Counties (includes Moorhead and Detroit Lakes) |
49 | Melissa Franzen | R +0.86 | Ron Erhardt | R +1.21 | Paul Rosenthal | R +0.51 | Most of Edina and part of Bloomington |
5 | Tom Saxhaug | R +1.07 | John Persell | R +1.26 | Tom Anzelc | R +0.92 | Most of Cass and part of Itasca Counties (includes Bemidji and Grand Rapids) |
53 | Susan Kent | R +1.58 | JoAnn Ward | D +3.39 | Kelly Fenton | R +6.32 | East side suburbs of St Paul, including all of Woodbury and surrounding communities |
44 | Terri Bonoff | R +1.88 | Sarah Anderson | R +5.5 | Jon Applebaum | D +1.44 | West side suburbs of Minneapolis, including most of Plymouth and part of Minnetonka |
36 | John Hoffman | R +2.06 | Mark Uglem | R +3.87 | Melissa Hortman | R +0.3 | North side suburbs of Minneapolis, including most of Champlin and Coon Rapids, part of Brooklyn Park |
37 | Alice Johnson | R +2.13 | Jerry Newton | D +0.79 | Tim Sanders | R +4.95 | North side suburbs of Minneapolis, including most of Blaine and part of Coon Rapids |
14 | John Pederson | R +2.2 | Tama Theis | R +4.19 | Jim Knoblach | D +0.08 | Most of the city of St Cloud and surrounding township |
28 | Jeremy Miller | R +2.47 | Gene Pelowski, Jr | R +0.21 | Greg Davids | R +4.25 | Southeast corner of state, including Winona |
17 | Lyle Koenen | R +2.63 | Tim Miller | R +2.01 | Dave Baker | R +3.24 | Rural South-central, including Montevideo, Benson, and Willmar |
20 | Kevin Dahle | R +3.34 | Bob Vogel | R +10.15 | David Bly | D +3.19 | Far Southwest Exurbs of Metro area, including LeSueur and parts of Scott and Rice Counties |
48 | David Hann | R +3.86 | Yvonne Selcer | R +1.06 | Jenifer Loon | R +7.17 | Southwest Suburbs of Minneapolis, including most of Minnetonka and Eden Prairie |
57 | Greg Clausen | R +4.1 | Tara Mack | R +2.78 | Anna Wills | R +5.34 | Southeast Suburbs of St Paul, including most of Apple Valley and Rosemount |
39 | Karin Housley | R +4.7 | Bob Dettmer | R +5.55 | Kathy Lohmer | R +3.86 | Mostly rural and exurb portions of Washington County (Stillwater, Forest Lake, and surrounding regions) |
26 | Carla Nelson | R +4.81 | Tina Liebling | D +2.18 | Nels Pierson | R +10.0 | South part of Rochester and surrounding rural |
24 | Vicki Jensen | R +4.81 | John Petersburg | +R 6.22 | Brian Daniels | R +3.27 | Rural and exurb areas, including Faribault, Waseca, and Owatonna |
21 | Matt Schmitt | R +5.17 | Tim Kelly | R +1.52 | Steve Drazkowski | R +8.95 | Most of Goodhue and Wabasha Counties (southeast rural/exurb between Red Wing and Goodhue) |
56 | Dan Hall | R +5.61 | Drew Christensen | R +6.54 | Roz Peterson | R +4.72 | Southside suburbs, including most of Savage and part of Burnsville |
25 | David Senjem | R +5.71 | Duane Quam | R +9.35 | Kim Norton | R +1.98 | North part of Rochester and surrounding rural |
1 | LeRoy Stumpf | R +5.79 | Dan Fabian | R +6.97 | Debra Kiel | R +4.48 | Northwest rural corner of state, including Roseau, Warroad, Thief River Falls, and East Grand Forks |
10 | Carrie Ruud | R +6.53 | Josh Heintzeman | R +8.56 | Dale Lueck | R +4.67 | Crow Wing and Aitkin Counties (including Brainerd and Baxter) |
2 | Rod Skoe | R +6.73 | Dave Hancock | R +4.44 | Steve Green | R +9.08 | North Central rural, including Red Lake and White Earth |
16 | Gary Dahms | R +6.76 | Chris Swedzinski | R +4.35 | Paul Torkelson | R +9.13 | Rural area south of the Minnesota River, including New Ulm, Granite Falls, and Marshall |
38 | Roger Chamberlain | R +6.76 | Linda Runbeck | R +7.2 | Matt Dean | R +6.37 | North-east suburbs of St Paul, including Lino Lakes, Hugo, White Bear, North Oaks |
12 | Torrey Westrom | R +7.0 | Jeff Backer | R +3.16 | Paul Anderson | R +11.34 | Rural west-central area, including Sauk Centre, Glenwood, Morris, Breckenridge |
23 | Julie Rosen | R +7.06 | Bob Gunther | R +10.6 | Tony Cornish | R +3.33 | Rural area south of Mankato, including Blue Earth and Jackson |
32 | Sean Nienow | R +7.66 | Brian Johnson | R +7.87 | Bob Barrett | R +7.46 | Rural exurbs north of metro, including Cambridge, Isanti, Chisago |
35 | Branden Petersen | R +8.86 | Abigail Whelan | R +6.62 | Peggy Scott | R +10.82 | Northwest suburbs of Minneapolis, including most of Anoka, Cambridge, and part of Andover |
13 | Michelle Fischbach | R +8.95 | Jeff Howe | R +8.14 | Tim O'Driscoll | R +9.79 | Eastern Stearns County (including Sartell, Sauk Rapids, and St Joseph, but excluding most of St Cloud) |
34 | Warren Limmer | R +9.47 | Joyce Peppin | +12.36 | Dennis Smith | R +6.66 | Northwest suburbs of Minneapolis, including most of Maple Grove and Rogers |
22 | Bill Weber | R +9.56 | Joe Schomacker | R +11.55 | Rod Hamilton | R +7.22 | Southwest rural corner, including Worthington, Pipestone, Luverne |
58 | Dave Thompson | R +10.1 | Jon Koznick | R +10.75 | Pat Garofalo | R +9.41 | Most rural and exurb areas of Dakota County, including most of Lakeville, Farmington, areas south (excluding Northfield) |
18 | Scott Newman | R +10.27 | Dean Urdahl | R +9.85 | Glenn Gruenhagen | R+10.72 | Rural central, including Litchfield, Hutchinson, Glencoe |
9 | Paul Gazelka | R +10.67 | Mark Anderson | R +11.74 | Ron Kresha | R +9.59 | North-central rural, including Wadena, Long Prairie, Little Falls |
55 | Eric Pratt | R +10.92 | Bob Loonan | R +6.9 | Tony Albright | R +14.0 | Exurb areas of Scott County, including Shakopee and Prior Lake |
15 | Dave Brown | R +10.96 | Sondra Erickson | R +7.7 | Jim Newberger | R +13.93 | Mostly rural area south of Mille Lacs (including Foley and Milaca), with some exurbs southeast of St Cloud, including Clear Lake and Clearwater |
8 | Bill Ingebrigtsen | R +11.48 | Bud Nornes | R +12.63 | Mary Franson | R +10.37 | Rural north-central, includes Fergus Falls, Alexandria |
29 | Bruce Anderson | R +11.89 | Joe McDonald | R +12.78 | Marion O'Neill | R +10.91 | Northwest metro exurbs, including Annandale, Monticello, Buffalo |
33 | David Osmek | R +12.97 | Jerry Hertaus | R +16.22 | Cindy Pugh | R +9.66 | Far west exurbs of Hennepin County, including most of Wayzata, Excelsior, Mound, Orono |
30 | Mary Kiffmeyer | R +13.51 | Nick Zerwas | R +11.53 | Eric Lucero | R +15.5 | North west exurbs, including Big Lake, Elk River, Albertville, St Michael |
47 | Julianne Ortman | R +13.67 | Jim Nash | R +15.29 | Joe Hoppe | R + 11.95 | Most of Carver County, including Chaska, Waconia, Norwood Young America, and most of Chanhassen |
31 | Michelle Benson | R +13.79 | Kurt Daudt | R +15.14 | Tom Hackbarth | R +12.57 | Rural and exurb areas of northern Anoka County, plus part of Isanti County |
Here are the maps representing the same data (Senate is first, followed by House):